Analyst predicts use of external forces in Sudan

Sudanese political analyst Taher Al-Mutasim (Courtesy photo)

Sudanese political analyst and journalist Taher Al-Mutasim says Chapter VII of the UN Charter could be invoked and international forces deployed to Sudan should the international condemnation of the war-ravaged country continue.

In an interview with Radio Tamazuj, Al-Mutasim, however, acknowledged that the challenge lay in the enforceability and the implementation of the international resolutions.

“The accumulation of international condemnations can be used in the future under Chapter VII, and it may lead to the accumulation of evidence that could bring violators of the resolution to sanctions by the Security Council or referral to the International Criminal Court,” Al-Mutasim said,

He pointed out that international interest in the Sudan has been growing and exerting more pressure on the belligerents to reach a settlement and cease hostilities.

Last week, the UN Security Council officially adopted a British proposal during its regular session to lift the siege on the city of Al-Fasher, which is besieged by the Rapid Support Forces (RSF).

In March, the Council adopted a resolution proposed by the UK and supported by 14 countries, calling for a ceasefire during the holy month of Ramadan. The resolution was not adhered to.

Several international institutions, led by the UN Human Rights Council, have condemned the ongoing violence in Sudan and called for an immediate ceasefire.

Al-Mutasim considered that all the pressures represented a leverage, compelling the parties to take an interest and be convinced of the inevitability of achieving a ceasefire.

He explained that the war, now in its 15th month, had exerted a heavy toll on the civilians through killings, displacement, forced migration, ethnic cleansing, as well as war crimes and crimes against humanity.

Al-Mutasim stated that the escalation of military operations and the counter-statements confirmed that the warring parties were striving for control and attempting to assert dominance in anticipation of entering into indirect negotiations.

He pointed to the remarks made by US Special Envoy for Sudan, Tom Perriello, regarding the expected negotiation period, estimated at the next four weeks, indicating that there were indirect talks.

“There are intensive international movements represented by the Egyptian initiative and the movements of the European Union, with leaks suggesting consultations in the German capital Berlin in the coming July,” he added.

Al-Mutasim expects that the intense international activity will contribute to ending the war.